Trade Decision and Risk Intelligence Agent Icon

Trade Decision and Risk Intelligence Agent

Applies risk scoring and policy interpretation to evaluate trade requests with consistent, explainable, and compliance-aligned decision intelligence.

MTrade risk assessment and decision-making traditionally depend on manual interpretation of complex regulatory requirements, policy documents, and historical trading patterns. Teams must aggregate information from multiple internal and external sources to evaluate trade requests, leading to delays, inconsistencies, and increased compliance exposure—especially as trade volumes scale and regulations evolve.

The Trade Decision & Risk Intelligence Agent consolidates these activities into a unified decision-support layer by combining policy interpretation, historical pattern analysis, predictive risk scoring, and real-time compliance assessment. Drawing on structured data such as trade requests, historical outcomes, and compliance logs, as well as unstructured sources like regulatory bulletins, policy documents, and trade narratives, the agent standardizes and analyzes trade information against up-to-date regulatory and policy rules. It calculates risk and compliance scores using predictive models and rule-based evaluations, identifies policy or regulatory deviations, and synthesizes a rationale that explains every score and determination.

By delivering consistent, explainable insights and streamlining the evaluation of trade requests, the agent reduces manual bottlenecks, enforces policy and regulatory requirements with precision, and accelerates decision cycles. Standard or low-risk requests can be green-flagged for rapid progression, while higher-risk or exceptional cases are escalated with clear contextual summaries. Organizations benefit from improved throughput, reduced operational effort, and stronger compliance governance supported by high-quality decision intelligence.

Accuracy
TBD

Speed
TBD

Input Data Set

Sample of data set required for Trade Decision and Risk Intelligence Agent:

Trade Execution Request: SXF-98345

Requesting Trader: Brenda Wallace Trade Desk: Americas - Commodities Submission Date: 2024-10-23


Trade Details

  • Trade ID: SXF-98345
  • Product: Soy Futures (SXF)
  • Counterparty: Quantum Dynamics S.A.
  • Direction: BUY
  • Notional Value (USD): $15,500,000
  • Quantity (Contracts): 2,500
  • Settlement Date: 2025-03-15
  • Origin Jurisdiction: Brazil

Trader's Narrative & Justification

We are capitalizing on favorable market conditions following the latest agricultural report. The proposed volume is approximately 20% higher than our standard ticket size with Quantum Dynamics, but their recent performance and our strategic goal to increase market share in this sector justify the exception. This trade is intended to secure supply ahead of anticipated price increases in Q1 next year. We have a strong historical relationship with Quantum Dynamics and foresee no settlement issues.

Deliverable Example

Sample output delivered by the Trade Decision and Risk Intelligence Agent:

Trade Decision & Risk Intelligence Evaluation Report

Trade Request: InnovateCorp – SXF_98345
Date: January 14, 2025


1. Summary Decision

⚠ Status: Requires Review

The trade cannot proceed due to identified compliance gaps, medium-risk scoring across multiple dimensions, and exposure limit deviations.
A notification has been sent to the submitting sales executive detailing required next steps.


2. Risk & Compliance Scores

Dimension Score Rating Key Drivers
Regulatory Compliance 0.78 Medium Risk Cross-border attestation missing; jurisdiction-sensitive disclosures required
Counterparty Risk 0.66 Moderate Exposure Concentration increasing; multiple unsettled derivative positions
Market Risk 0.52 Low–Moderate Notional aligns with current volatility thresholds
Policy Adherence 0.61 Partially Compliant SXF exposure limit exceeded by 12%
Composite Score 0.64 Medium Risk Weighted analysis of market, counterparty, and policy criteria

Interpretation:
Risk scoring indicates that the trade is not eligible for straight-through evaluation and requires human review by a Trade Risk Officer.


3. Automated Findings

3.1 Regulatory Interpretation & Compliance Gaps

Using retrieval-augmented LLM reasoning, the agent extracted relevant cross-border and derivative-compliance conditions:

  • Missing Cross-Border Trading Attestation for Canada (NI 31-103 requirement).
  • No attached pre-trade disclosures for derivative index products.
  • Missing explicit confirmation of client suitability approval on record.

3.2 Internal Policy & Exposure Validation

Key internal checks revealed:

  • SXF product exposure for InnovateCorp exceeds policy limits by 12%.
  • Prior exposure-increase request was denied pending stability review.
  • Product classification validated successfully; no prohibited instrument flags triggered.

3.3 Counterparty Historical Risk Patterns

LLM analysis of historical trade behavior found:

  • Three unsettled derivative positions outstanding.
  • Higher adjustment requests vs. historical baseline.
  • No compliance breaches in past 12 months, though margin-call frequency has risen.

4. Required Documentation Before Proceeding

The following items must be submitted for the trade to advance:

  1. Cross-Border Trading Attestation (Canada)
  2. Client Suitability Confirmation for index derivatives
  3. Pre-Trade Disclosures Package
  4. Manager Approval for exposure-limit override

These requirements have been automatically included in the notification sent to the requester.


5. Recommended Actions

  • Forward the case to the assigned Trade Risk Officer for manual review and decisioning.
  • Submit missing documentation and re-trigger scoring afterward.
  • Generate exposure-limit override justification (draft prepared internally).
  • Operations teams must hold downstream booking until clearance is obtained.

6. Audit-Ready Explanation

“Trade SXF_98345 for InnovateCorp was flagged due to partial non-compliance with internal exposure thresholds, missing jurisdiction-required attestations under NI 31-103, and emerging counterparty exposure trends. Composite risk scoring indicates a medium-risk profile unsuitable for automatic straight-through evaluation. Additional documentation and approvals are required before the trade can advance.”


7. Notification Summary

Email Notifications Sent To:

  • Submitting Sales Executive
  • Assigned Trade Risk Officer
  • Compliance Intake Mailbox

Included in Notification:

  • Summary of findings
  • Missing documentation
  • Risk and compliance scoring breakdown
  • Required approvals
  • Next-step instructions

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